Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.123201 12.464698 13.942986 15.699657 17.738961 20.042242 22.855245
2025-11-02 9.137171 10.855140 12.892299 15.510099 18.819534 22.911198 28.426857
2025-11-09 7.936532 9.798497 12.117000 15.260098 19.478779 25.046933 33.127376
2025-11-16 7.105109 9.042245 11.550056 15.100573 20.108061 27.092978 37.899508
2025-11-23 6.383119 8.324923 10.919639 14.727277 20.325457 28.512500 41.908672
2025-11-30 5.888313 7.850692 10.549135 14.641329 20.895251 30.459715 46.979612
2025-12-07 5.328603 7.229664 9.904208 14.069116 20.638489 31.064822 49.914844
2025-12-14 4.811681 6.624594 9.224662 13.365818 20.077354 31.078176 51.785540
2025-12-21 4.471477 6.248001 8.846128 13.080747 20.139041 32.105036 55.615815
2025-12-28 4.552659 6.497069 9.421440 14.349710 22.909173 38.167054 70.161978
2026-01-04 4.399522 6.376332 9.411373 14.655008 24.049286 41.452036 79.852655
2026-01-11 4.112537 6.027552 9.012172 14.263685 23.890874 42.246852 84.354911
2026-01-18 3.998445 5.952015 9.060959 14.673100 25.301959 46.423568 97.701887
2026-01-25 3.780489 5.695769 8.793776 14.499865 25.589781 48.373418 106.318692
2026-02-01 3.573097 5.442537 8.511590 14.269786 25.732332 50.027479 114.614660
2026-02-08 3.398533 5.232245 8.286714 14.122973 26.021131 52.043116 124.424756
2026-02-15 3.206468 4.980968 7.973155 13.779298 25.859134 53.002303 131.553873
2026-02-22 3.071531 4.818742 7.805038 13.700146 26.247987 55.319813 143.378141
2026-03-01 2.879185 4.547402 7.425072 13.172945 25.601239 55.016288 147.027313
2026-03-08 2.682691 4.259622 6.999762 12.524401 24.621163 53.747120 147.270872
2026-03-15 2.554758 4.085943 6.773253 12.261340 24.488089 54.636618 155.068341
2026-03-22 2.629840 4.274515 7.226229 13.431518 27.813460 65.284710 201.447258
2026-03-29 2.582196 4.239428 7.255463 13.712744 29.060312 70.498944 230.030589